Los Angeles vs. Calgary,
03/28/2012 21:30 EDT,
Score: 3 - 0
Total: -135/+5 Under
On Wednesday the CIT Tourney championship side is on Mercer. Game 523 at 9:00 eastern. You have to admire what these guys have done going 26-11 this season and winning 3 straight road games as a dog to get here. Normally we would fade these triple dog winners. However Mercer appears to be getting too many here. Mercer has won 6 of 7 vs winning teams of late and has covered 9 of the last 10 vs such teams. They have a better RPI Ranking and have won 6 of 7 vs teams ranked 101 to 150 in the RPI Rankings like Utah St. Mercer has covered 13 of 16 lined games as a dog since 1997. In non conference games they are 6-1 ats and a perfect 4-0 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 120 to 130. Utah St got away with a cake walk against Oakland putting up a season high 101 points. In games this season after scoring 80 or more they have followed up with a loss every time. They wont shoot 63% like they did against Oakland here tonight vs a Mercer team that has allowed less then 40% from the field in 3 of the last 4 games. Finally Utah St is under .500 to the spread vs winning teams. Utah St will get all they can handle from these bunch of MERCERnaries.
On Wednesday the NHL play is on the Under in the LA. at Calgary game. Rotation numbers 5/6 at 9:35 eastern. LA has played under in 40 of 59 after scoring 1 or less, 20 of 24 vs losing teams, 5 of 6 on the road when the total is in this range and they are 2nd best defensive team in the league and the 2nd worst offensive team. Calgary ha splayed under in 13 of 16 after scoring 4 or more goals. In the series 8 of the last 10 over the last 3 years have stayed under including 3 of 4 here in Calgary. Over the last 10 games 9 of the 10 have had no more than 5 goals scored. Look for another low scoring affair. Take the under here tonight.