4* COLLEGE HOOPS HARDWOOD HEAVY HITTER

Pittsburgh vs. Butler, 03/21/2012 20:00 EDT, Score: 68 - 62

Point Spread: -1/-110 Butler

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

4* COLLEGE HOOPS HARDWOOD HEAVY HITTER: Butler -1

I was spot on the Panthers covering that 6.5-point spread at home against Princeton, but most of the public was backing Princeton in that game. The Panthers ended up absolutely dominating the game 82-61. To no surprise, most of the public is jumping on Pittsburgh against Butler. I'm not falling for the trap. I will take Butler to win this game.

The Bulldogs get the huge advantage of playing this game at home, and there's no denying that Butler plays their best in tournament games. The Bulldogs are 33-16-4 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. BET THE BULLDOGS!