4* NIT *BEST BET* (ESPN)

Middle Tennessee vs. Tennessee, 03/19/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 71 - 64

Point Spread: +5/-110 Middle Tennessee

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Win

4* NIT *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Middle Tennessee State +5
MTSU wants this game badly as it has lost 8 in a row to Tennessee dating back to 1999. The Blue Raiders are a very good basketball team, and I like their chances of pulling off the upset.

These two played 5 like opponents this season. MTSU went 5-1 in those games while Tennessee went 4-3. In looking at like matchups against Vanderbilt and Ole Miss, there is reason to believe the Blue Raiders can cover this number.

MTSU only lost at Vandy by 7 while Tennessee lost at Vandy by 18. Also, MTSU defeated Ole Miss by 12 at home. Tennessee defeated Ole Miss by just 13 at home.

The Blue Raiders are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record. They have won these games by an average score of 70.9 to 61.5. We'll take the points.