20* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Iowa State +11.5

Iowa State vs. Kentucky, 03/17/2012 19:45 EDT, Score: 71 - 87

Point Spread: +11½/-110 Iowa State

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

I've been on Iowa State all season. Somehow, this team continues to go under the radar. They got screwed on getting a No. 8 seed to say the least. ISU finished 3rd in the Big 12 during the regular season. The Big 12 was named the second-best conference in the country. ISU has been using all this as motivation all along.

I would not be surprised to see ISU beat Kentucky, but I'll take the points for some insurance. ISU is as talented as the Wildcats, who have been overrated for weeks. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games, and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.

Iowa State is 9-1 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Kentucky is 8-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Iowa State is 10-1 ATS on Saturday games this season. Kentucky is 4-16 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Bet Iowa State Saturday.