15* Marquette/LSU FSN Monday No-Brainer on LSU +8
Marquette vs. LSU,
12/19/2011 21:00 EDT,
Score: 59 - 67
Point Spread: +8/-110 LSU
Marquette is way overvalued at this point of the season due to their 10-0 start. They are being asked to lay way too many points tonight at LSU because of it. This is a game I likely see the Eagles losing outright, but I'll take the points for some insurance.
While I will admit that Marquette is a quality team, they have certainly benefited from a very favorable schedule this season. They have only played one true road game this season, which just so happened to be their only impressive win at Wisconsin. This game against LSU will be just their second true road game all year.
LSU is a quality team as well at 7-3 and with four returning starters from last season. The Tigers have played a more difficult schedule with just four home games compared to six road games. LSU is 3-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents 75.2 to 64.2 on average.
Marquette is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, which proves that they are overvalued. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite as well. LSU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These last four trends make for a 19-0 system backing the Tigers. Take LSU Monday.