4* NCAAB Bookie Beatdown
Youngstown State vs. Akron,
12/19/2011 19:00 EDT,
Score: 62 - 88
Point Spread: +9½/-110 Youngstown State
This is a straight value play on Youngstown State +9.5. Last year Youngstown State went on the road and lost to Akron 84-91 in overtime. It was the Penguins first road game of the season last year. Youngstown State returns four starters from that game, while Akron will have just two.
The Penguins are 6-4 on the year, but have played 7 of their first 10 games on the road! Not only do I think Youngstown State can cover the 9.5-point spread, but I also think a small wager on the moneyline is worth a risk if you have it.
Youngstown State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while Akron is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. BET THE PENGUINS +9.5!