Joe D's NCAAB 30-7-1 No Limit Winner

South Florida vs. California, 03/14/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 65 - 54

Point Spread: +3/-105 South Florida

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

Today's winner is South Florida over California. This is my No Limit Winner.

California hit a wall at the end of the season, dropping 3 of their L4 SU and 4 of their L5 ATS. We all know the Bears can score but they have trouble when facing defense-minded squads. South Florida is just that. The Bulls allow a mere 56.9 PPG. I know injuries and suspensions have thinned-out Cal's team, but they just don't have the horses to run in this matchup. On top of that, the physical game that is played by Big East teams like South Flo will take its toll on the Cal here. USF's very big, very tough Gilchrist and Rudd will overpower their front line counterparts in this game. South Florida is a very unselfish and talented unit. They have 7 players that average between 6.8 and 9.6 PPG. They don't need headlines. They just want wins. They showed just how good they are as they won outright at Louisville, Pitt, and Providence, just over the last several weeks. The Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS their L7 games played against the Big East, 1-4 ATS their L5 NCAA Tournament games, and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played overall. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS their L6 games played as a 'dog, 6-2 ATS their L8 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their L10 games played overall. Take South Florida. Thank you.