5* NCAAB *BEST BET*
Florida State vs. Michigan State,
11/30/2011 19:30 EDT,
Score: 49 - 65
Point Spread: +7½/-105 Florida State
5* NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Florida State +8
Motivated by back-to-back defeats, expect the Seminoles to give Michigan State all it wants and more tonight.
The Spartans are coming off a 32-point win at Eastern Michigan but are 0-8 ATS after a blowout win by 30 points or more since the start of the 2009 season.
The Spartans have been a poor investment when laying points, especially at home, where they are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. They are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The Seminoles are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss.
FSU was one of the best defensive teams in the country last season and nothing has changed. The Noles rank 8th nationally in field goal percentage defense, allowing their foes to shoot just 33.7%.
Michigan State has struggled offensively early on. It ranks 221st in the country in field goal percentage. We'll take the points.