15* Mavericks/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Dallas -3.5

Dallas vs. Phoenix, 03/08/2012 22:30 EDT, Score: 94 - 96

Point Spread: -3½/-107 Dallas

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

The Dallas Mavericks have simply owned the Phoenix Suns over the last few years. I look for more of the same tonight against a Phoenix team that is nowhere near as good as it was over the last decade. Phoenix is down, while Dallas remains a title contender as they look to repeat.

Dallas is 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight meetings with Phoenix. If that's not domination, I don't know what is. They have won all eight games by 6 points or more as well, so it's not like these contests have been all that close. This is simply a tough match-up for the Suns, and that's not going to change tonight.

Phoenix played a hard-fought game last night at Oklahoma City, falling by a final of 104-115. Meanwhile, Dallas had the night off, so there's no question the Mavericks will be the fresher team heading into this one. Phoenix could still be deflated from blowing a double-digit lead last night.

The Suns are 1-11 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Phoenix is 8-26 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Mavericks are 38-15-2 ATS in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Roll with Dallas Thursday.