25* Big 12 Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa State +1
Texas vs. Iowa State,
03/08/2012 21:30 EDT,
Score: 71 - 65
Point Spread: +1/-105 Iowa State
The Iowa State Cyclones have been a huge money-maker for me all season. I'm going to continue riding them at a great price in the opening round of the Big 12 Tournament. Somehow, some way this team continues going under the radar. They are once again undervalued in this showdown with Texas.
Iowa State is 22-9 on the season, including 12-6 in Big 12 action. They will be playing in the NCAA Tournament, but would certainly like to improve their seeding with a deep run in this Big 12 Tournament. ISU is 18-8 ATS in all games this year, including a superb 14-3 ATS in conference games. They have been underrated all year.
Unlike ISU, Texas has been overrated all season. The Longhorns are 19-12 on the year, including a woeful 9-17 ATS. Texas is 9-9 in Big 12 play, and 6-12 ATS in those 18 contests. This team still gets respect from oddsmakers because they are "Texas", but they don't deserve it. This is a very young team that won't be able to handle the pressure of this situation. Texas almost certainly needs a win to make the NCAA Tournament, but I do not believe they have what it takes.
Iowa State is 7-0 ATS in their last seven March games. Texas is 0-6 ATS in their last six versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These three trends make for a perfect 18-0 system backing the Cyclones. Bet Iowa State Thursday.