Jack's Free Pick Monday!

Sacramento vs. Denver, 03/05/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 116 - 119

Point Spread: +9½/-110 Sacramento

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Win

The Sacramento Kings are showing great value tonight against the Denver Nuggets. Denver is overvalued in this spot due to three straight victories, including a win at San Antonio last night. That sets the Nuggets up for a big letdown spot tonight against the Kings.

Despite their poor record, the Kings have been one of the best teams in the league to back at the pay window over the last five weeks. Sacramento is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Off three straight losses, and out for revenge from two bad losses to Denver in their first two meetings, the Kings will be the more motivated team tonight.

Sacramento is 8-1 ATS after three or more consecutive losses this season. The Kings are 32-19 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Denver is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. Bet Sacramento Monday.