20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Charlotte Bobcats +14.5
Charlotte vs. San Antonio,
03/02/2012 20:30 EDT,
Score: 72 - 102
Point Spread: +14½/-105 Charlotte
The Charlotte Bobcats are clearly going to be showing great value throughout the second half of the season. They were clearly the worst team in the first half, which is what will keep the betting public off of them. As a result, the Bobcats should show a nice profit at the pay window for weeks to come.
I especially like Charlotte in this spot tonight against a deflated San Antonio Spurs team. The Spurs are coming off a tough home loss to the Chicago Bulls last time out. They wanted that game pretty badly to prove that they were among the NBA's elite. I have a hard time seeing them coming back motivated to face the team with the league's worst record tonight.
One of the biggest reason for the Bobcats' struggles in the first half was injuries. Charlotte just couldn't seem to get healthy, but they finally have most of their players back heading into the second half. Key players like Corey Maggette, Gerald Henderson and D.J. Augustin have all returned from injury. All three of those guys are starters, so they're obviously important.
This play falls into a system that is 46-18 (71.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
The Spurs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Bobcats are 41-22 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread since 1996. Bet Charlotte Friday.