15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Florida State/Virginia UNDER 116

Florida State vs. Virginia, 03/01/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 63 - 60

Total: -110/+116 Under

Sportsbook: JustBet

Result: Loss

I fully expect a defensive battle tonight between the Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Cavaliers. Intensity will be high at the defensive end as both teams look to bounce back from losses last time out. These are two of the best defensive teams in the land, and that will be on display tonight.

I look for a similar showing to the 58-55 battle won by Florida State at home in their first meeting of the season. What's most impressive about how low-scoring of a game that was is the fact that both teams shot well from the field. FSU shot 47.8 percent and Virginia shot 46.7 percent, but the pace was just extremely slow.

I expect another slow pace tonight with a very good chance that neither team shoots as well as they did in their first meeting. Virginia only allows 52.2 points/game on 38.7 percent shooting this season. They are even better at home, yielding a mere 48.6 points/game on 36.5 percent shooting. FSU allows 61.9 points/game on 37.6 percent shooting this season.

Virginia is 19-4 to the UNDER in all games this season. The Cavaliers are 8-0 to the UNDER after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games this season. Virginia is 6-0 to the UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cavaliers are 7-0 to the UNDER versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of