20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Cavaliers +10
Cleveland vs. New York,
02/29/2012 19:30 EDT,
Score: 103 - 120
Point Spread: +10/-105 Cleveland
The Cleveland Cavaliers are showing great value Wednesday as a double-digit underdog to the New York Knicks. Cleveland has been underrated all season, and that's certainly the case tonight. Meanwhile, the New York Knicks are way overvalued right now due to their recent surge thanks to Jeremy Lin.
At 13-19 on the season, the Cavaliers are certainly improved from a year ago. Kyrie Irving is playing out of his mind and is the clear choice for Rookie of the Year honors through the All-Star Break. Cleveland is only getting outscored by an average of 3.6 points/game on the season, including 4.7 points/game on the road.
New York is just 17-18 on the year even with their recent 7-game winning streak. While Lin has improved this team, now is the time to fade them with all of the hype the Knicks have been getting in the media. Plus, New York is just 1-2 since Carmelo Anthony returned to the line-up, which has thrown of the chemistry the team had prior to him coming back.
This play falls into a system that is 25-5 (83.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%). The Knicks are just 6-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.