NCAAB FREE PICK: Indiana Hoosiers +2.5
Michigan State vs. Indiana,
02/28/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 55 - 70
Point Spread: +2½/-105 Indiana
Indiana is definitely worth a look as a 3-point home underdog against red-hot Michigan St. There is no denying the Hoosiers play their best basketball at home. They are 16-1 at Assembly Hall. The bigger the opponent the better Indiana seems to play at home, as they stunned a couple of highly-ranked teams in Kentucky and Ohio State. You simply can't look at Michigan State's 80-65 win at home over Indiana and assume they are going to easily win this game. The Big Ten is one of the toughest places to win on the road, especially when you have a team as talented as Indiana.
Michigan State has recently put together a string of road wins against Ohio State, Purdue and Minnesota, but you can't ignore the fact that the Spartans lost at Michigan and Northwestern in conference play.
While Indiana will have their focus locked in on Michigan State, its going to be extremely hard for the Spartans to not look ahead to their huge game against Ohio State on Saturday.
Indiana is 21-9 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997 and are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. BET THE HOOSIERS!