Joe D'Amico's NFL 10 Dime Winner

Jacksonville vs. Atlanta, 12/15/2011 20:20 EDT, Score: 14 - 41

Total: -106/+42½ Under

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

Today's winner is the UNDER in the Jacksonville/Atlanta NFL game. This is my 10 Dime Play.

Jacksonville ranks 28th in the NFL in scoring, averaging a dismal 14.8 PPG, dead last in YPG (260.1), and passing yardage (140.8). Atlanta isn't too much better, posting 23.1 PPG. Combined, these two teams have played to 7 OVERS and 19 UNDERS this season. The Jags woke up LW with a 41 point effort, but prior to that, they haven't topped 20 points all season. Atlanta had a decent outing, posting 31, but it was to a defenseless Carolina team. The Falc's have average numbers at best. They have two wins all season of more than 10 points. A matter of fact, Atlanta is just 9 points from an 0-5 ATS skid. They still can't remedy WR, Roddy White's ball-dropping. Jacksonville will keep the ball on the ground and kill a lot of clock on the legs of Maurice Jones-Drew. One problem with that…Atlanta's 5th in the league against the run, allowing just 95.2 YPG on the ground. The Falcon's offense has been inconsistent this year. They have played to 8 UNDERS in their L9 outings while the Jags played to 7 UNDERS of their L9. AS of print, both squads have alot of players listed as questionable to doubtful. Atlanta needs the win and the only way to get it is to play mistake-free football here. So, they too will use their reliable RB, Michael Turner and use some time up. The UNDER is 4-0 the L4 meetings between these two teams, 6-0 in the Jags L6 road games, 6-0 in the L6 game the Jags played vs. teams with a winning record, 7-0 in the Falcons L7 games following a SU win, and 6-1 in the Falcons L7 games played as a favorite. Take the UNDER. Thank you.