5* Pac-12 Game of the Week

California vs. Colorado, 02/26/2012 17:30 EDT, Score: 57 - 70

Point Spread: +3/-110 Colorado

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

5* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Colorado +3
Motivated by an embarrassing 24-point loss to Stanford, which snapped a 10-game home winning streak, and further fueled by 7-point loss at Cal last month, expect Colorado to take care of business at home this evening.

Consider that all teams when the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss by 15 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record, are 71-33 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 3.8 points. It is also worth noting that this system is 5-1 ATS on the season.

The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Cal and have won 3 straight at home in the series by an average of 17.7 points. Bet the Buffs.