15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Western Kentucky +9

Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky, 02/25/2012 18:00 EDT, Score: 67 - 73

Point Spread: +9/-110 Western Kentucky

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

Western Kentucky already took Middle Tennessee State down to the wire in their first meeting. The Hilltoppers would fall 64-72 to the Blue Raiders on February 9th on the road just a little over two weeks ago. I like their chances to stay within 8 points once again at home this time around.

While WKU is just 10-18 on the season, this team has been playing much better basketball of late than their record would indicate. The Hilltoppers are 5-4 in their last nine games overall, with all four of those losses coming by 8 points or less.

Western Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, covering 80% of the time. MTSU is way overvalued right now due to their 25-4 record, which is indicated by the fact that they are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Western Kentucky Saturday.