5* 'Never Lost' NCAAB *TOP DOG*
Princeton vs. Rider,
12/14/2011 19:00 EDT,
Score: 72 - 71
Point Spread: +6/-109 Rider
5* 'Never Lost' NCAAB *TOP DOG* on Rider +6
This is Rider's last home game before playing 4 in a row on the road, and I expect it to make the most of it.
The fact Rider was kicked by Florida - one of the top teams in the country - last game actually bodes well for us here. Consider that Rider is 6-0 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since the beginning of the 2009 season. It is winning by an average score of 75.8 to 71.2 in this situation.
It is also worth noting Rider is 7-0 ATS all-time under coach Dempsey as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. The Broncs aren't just covering the spread in these games, they're winning them outright by an average of 4.7 points.
Princeton has played 4 true road games this season and has been an underdog of at least 5.5 points in all of them. Now, it's laying 5.5 on the road. That's a big jump, one I don't believe it will be able to cover against a motivated Rider squad that's better than it's showed so far.