5* Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year
South Alabama vs. Florida Atlantic,
02/23/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 79 - 76
Point Spread: -6½/-110 Florida Atlantic
5* Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Florida Atlantic -6.5
Motivated by back-to-back losses on the road, and further fueled by a 9-point loss at South Alabama earlier this month, expect FAU to roll at home tonight.
The Jaguars enter having won 3 in a row in conference play, and that doesn't bode well for them. Under coach Arrow, they are just 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins and 2-9 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.
It is extremely significant that FAU averages 70.1 point at home and S. Alabama gives up 71.8 points on the road. That's because the Jaguars are 0-10 ATS when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. They have lost these games by an average of 13.7 points. Lay the points.