NBA FREE PICK: Raptors -4
Detroit vs. Toronto,
02/22/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 93 - 103
Point Spread: -4/-105 Toronto
I don't think there is any denying the Pistons are playing their best basketball heading into the All-Star break. They have covered 10 of their last 11 games, which likely has got the attention of just about everyone who bets the NBA. I expect a lot of people to jump on Detroit as a 4-point underdog in Toronto, but my money is on the Raptors to win and cover in this one.
The Pistons blew a 17-point lead at Cleveland last night, where they allowed the Cavaliers to score 35-points in the fourth quarter. That's a pretty good sign of a team wearing down. Tonight's game against the Raptors is not only the second road game in a back-to-back set, but its Detroit's 6th game in the last nine days.
At the same time the Raptors have had the luxury of four days off since their last game. Toronto has lost four straight and seven of the last eight. That usually is a sign that a team is playing bad, but the Raptors haven't had a loss by more than 7-points during that stretch. I look for them to come out extremely motivated to put a win on the board before the All-Star break. BET THE RAPTORS!