20* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Purdue +5.5

Michigan State vs. Purdue, 02/19/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 76 - 62

Point Spread: +5½/-110 Purdue

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

The Michigan State Spartans are getting way too much respect on the road today. They are a very good team and one of the best squads in the Big Ten, but there's no way they should be favored at Purdue.

The Boilermakers are 17-9 this season, including 11-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 14.5 points/game. Purdue wants revenge from an ugly loss at Michigan State earlier this season, which is likely the biggest reason why the Spartans are favored. But in the Big Ten, home-court advantage means everything.

Purdue is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Michigan State is 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons. These three trends make for a perfect 21-0 system backing the Boilermakers. Bet Purdue Sunday.