NCAAB FREE PICK: Vanderbilt -6
Vanderbilt vs. Georgia,
02/19/2012 13:00 EDT,
Score: 61 - 52
Point Spread: -6/-105 Vanderbilt
I have no problem laying 6-points on Vanderbilt at Georgia on Sunday. The Commodores went on the road and absolutely crushed Mississippi 102-76 as a 4.5-point favorite last Thursday and are a remarkable 8-1 ATS in road games after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Vanderbilt has been one of the best teams to back on the road as they are 13-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.
Georgia has been a solid home team this season, but their only conference home win came against Arkansas, who simply doesn't play well on the road. The Bulldogs suffered a heartbreaking 56-57 loss at South Carolina their last time out. That was a game they really expected to win and I look for them to struggle to bounce back today. Georgia was able to cover the spread in that game, but they are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
Georgia is also just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. BET VANDERBILT!