4* Big 12 *BEST BET*

Kansas State vs. Baylor, 02/18/2012 13:45 EDT, Score: 57 - 56

Point Spread: +7½/-110 Kansas State

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

4* Big 12 *BEST BET* on Kansas State +7.5
Motivated by back-to-back losses and a 2-point defeat to Baylor on Jan. 10, look for Kansas State to take the Bears down to the wire.

The fact Baylor is coming off a SU and ATS win over Iowa State works in our favor. That's because the Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

In addition, the Wildcats are a perfect 6-0 ATS under coach Martin after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. They are winning by an average score of 73.2 to 60.2 in this situation.

It's also worth noting that the underdog is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. We'll take the points.