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New Mexico vs. USC, 12/10/2011 19:00 EDT, Score: 44 - 41

Point Spread: +4/-102 USC

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

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1 Unit on USC +4
New Mexico has played only one true road game this season and won that game by just 5 points over an Arizona State team that is 3-5 on the season. The Lobos face an even stiffer test this evening and may not be able to walk away victorious this time around. Dating back to last season, the Lobos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
USC has been a phenomenal underdog investment for quite some time. The Trojans are 45-22 ATS in their last 67 games as an underdog. Recently, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and 19-8 ATS when catching points under coach O'Neill.
The Trojans are also 18-6 ATS versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 points or more per game under O'Neill. They are actually defeating these foes by an average of 1.1 points. We'll take the points.