3* NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT*
Ohio vs. Portland,
12/10/2011 22:00 EDT,
Score: 72 - 54
Point Spread: +5½/-110 Portland
3* NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Portland +5.5
Portland gets the call tonight as plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road loss by 20 points or more, in December games, are an impressive 69-33 ATS the last 5 seasons.
Ohio is 6-1 on the season and overvalued because of it. It has especially been overvalued versus teams that shoot 42% or worse and allow their opponents to shoot 45% or better. Since coach Groce has been at the helm, fading the Bobcats against such foes has produced a perfect 6-0 ATS record.
In addition, the Bobcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Pilots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the points.