New York vs. Toronto,
02/14/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 90 - 87
Point Spread: +5/-103 Toronto
1 Unit on Toronto Raptors +5
The Knicks have won 5 in a row largely due to the solid play of overnight star Jeremy Lin, and they are being overvalued by odds makers as a result.
The chemistry achieved in the absence of Amar'e Stoudemire could be thrown off with the big fella returning to action tonight. Plus, the Knicks haven't exactly been a strong investment in the road chalk role. The Knicks are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a road favorite.
The Raptors have won just 2 of their last 6 games but are 5-1 ATS during this stretch. During this span, they have played Miami to a 6-point game on the road, beat Boston at home and played the Lakers to a 2-point game at home. Toronto also posted a 5-point win over the Knicks at Madison Square Garden when these teams met early last month.
The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue with this line being inflated by Lin-sanity. Take the points.