4* NBA SMASH

Minnesota vs. Orlando, 02/13/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 89 - 102

Point Spread: +5½/-105 Minnesota

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

4* NBA SMASH on Timberwolves +5.5
Off 3 consecutive defeats, I expect an inspired effort from Minnesota here.

The T-Wolves have been playing some ball on the road. They have either won or lost by 5 points or less in 9 of 11 road games, including 4 straight. The Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.

The Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

The fact Orlando hasn't been able to force many turnovers of late bodes well for us too. Consider that it is 0-8 ATS in home games after 4 straight games forcing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. It's only winning by an average of 2.1 points in this situation.

Lastly, the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the T-Wolves.