15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia +10.5
Virginia vs. North Carolina,
02/11/2012 13:00 EDT,
Score: 52 - 70
Point Spread: +10½/-110 Virginia
The Virginia Cavaliers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. Getting them as a double-digit underdog Saturday is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The betting public is expecting UNC to bounce back, but I see it the complete opposite.
North Carolina will suffer a hangover from their huge 85-84 home loss to the Duke Blue Devils at the buzzer earlier this week. The Blue Devils are their arch rivals, so it's a loss that will take some time for them to get over.
Virginia is 19-4 on the season, just one win shy of North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 6-3 in conference play, with all three losses coming by 3 points or less. Those three losses have come by a combined 8 points, including a 58-61 setback at Duke and a 55-58 loss at Florida State. This team is the real deal.
The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in road games this season. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Virginia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots. Virginia is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games versus good ball handling teams - committing