Joe D'Amico's NFL Bailout Winner

Minnesota vs. Detroit, 12/11/2011 13:00 EDT, Score: 28 - 34

Total: -110/+46½ Over

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

Sunday's winner is the OVER in the Minnesota/Detroit game. This is my bailout Winner.

Detroit is posting 27.8 PPG. They have played to 3 OVERS in their L5 contests. With RB, Jahvid Best sidelined with an injury, QB, Matthew Stafford is going to the air more often and it is working. Stafford has 3527 YP, a 63.04% completion rate, and a 27/14 TD/INT ratio. They can certainly throw the ball against the 26th ranked pass defense of Minnesota. The Vikings are 31st in the league in points allowed, giving up 27.5 PPG. On the flip side, Christian Ponder is right at ease with his new offensive unit. He can breathe easier knowing that DT, Ndamukong Suh is out for this game. Talk is that Adrian Petersen might see action here against a Lions team that has lost 5 of their L7, giving up 130 points just in their L4. These two squads played in September, tallying up over 49 points. The OVER is 5-2 in the Vikings L7 overall, 4-0 in the Vikings L4vs. the NFC North, 4-0 in the Lions L$ games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 13-6-1 ATS in their L20 games played in December. Take the OVER. Thank you.