20* Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Bobcats +14
Charlotte vs. Boston,
02/07/2012 19:30 EDT,
Score: 84 - 94
Point Spread: +14/-105 Charlotte
Because the Charlotte Bobcats are off to such a poor start, this team is going to show great value over the next few weeks. The Bobcats are clearly struggling this year, but the value is there to pull the trigger tonight. Boston should not be this heavily favored.
The Celtics have not been a consistent team this season. They cannot be expected to blow the Bobcats out tonight. The Celtics are 13-10 on the year with very few wins by this margin. With the Lakers coming up next, I'm expecting the Celtics to look ahead to that rivalry, which is the most storied in the NBA.
Looking ahead when facing the Bobcats became a regular occurrence last season. Charlotte actually went 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three meetings with the Celtics last year. They won outright as a 13-point dog and as a 4.5 point dog, while also losing by 5 as an 8-point dog. Two of those three games were in Boston.
This play falls into a system that is 25-5 (83.3%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in February games. Boston is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game. Bet the Bobcats Tuesday.