RV: 21-0 SUPER BOWL 5* POWER SYSTEM WINNER + PROPS
NY Giants vs. New England,
02/05/2012 18:30 EDT,
Score: 21 - 17
Point Spread: +3/-110 NY Giants
On Super Bowl Sunday our selection is on The New York Giants. Game 101 at 6:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-0 Power system and a bevy of solid angles this season. They also figure to cover on the Simulation scene. When this game was simulated 10, 000 times the Patriots wound up winning 55% of the time but just by and average score of 27-25, while the Giants have Simulated a cover 58% of the time. In the Madden EA Sports Simulation the Giants emerge as 27-24 winner. While that is nice to have on our side it is not the basis of our play here. They system and the multitude of Super Bowl and Power Angles is what really puts us on the Giants here tonight. The Giants have a better defense while the Patriots have the better numbers on offense. The Giants have won the last 4 games vs the AFC East and 3 of the last 4 on Turf. They have a solid win in New England this season in a game that was scoreless at the half. The impressive part of that win is the Patriots had 100 more pass yards than the Giants and still could not win, while the Rushing stats were just about even. Now for some more angles. The Giants are 11-3 ats off back to back wins and 5-1 ats when the line is +3 to-3. They have covered 4 of the last 5 when the total is 49.5 o higher. They would be the first team to win the Super Bowl with just 9 wins in a 16 game regular season. They come into this game off back to back dog wins and such teams have covered 6 of the last 7 times in this role. In fact AFC Teams are 8-1-1 ats the last 32 years if they play a team that has a win percentage of .791 or higher. The team with the Better record like the Patriots are on a horrendous run going 1-13-2 ats and 0-8 of late. The dog has covered 7 of the last 10. The Giants win over a then undefeated Patriots team was the first such win in 33 years where a winning team scored less than 20 points. That win gave Coach Coughlin his first Super Bowl win. We note that coaches who won their first super Bowl appearance are 9-3 straight up in their second Super Bowl. In fact Coach Coughlin shares the all time record with Tom Landry for the most playoff road wins with seven. The Patriots are just 1-4 ats vs fellow playoff teams and like the Giants could have lost their last game. They scare no one on defense with the 31st ranked overall stop unit. The Patriots average more points per game than the Giants but such teams are just 2-8-1 ats the last 11 years. Teams who convert the better percentage on 3rd down have gone a surprising 3-7-1 ats of late again playing against the Patriots. Also teams who allow more yards per rush are 4-9-1 ats. Number one seeds are on a 2-8 run and the last 6 super bowl favorites that lost as a favorite in last years playoffs have gone down to the spread 5 times. Another key stat is that teams with nore average pass yards per attempt are 39-6 straight up. The Giants have the better deep threat and could win that stat as well. Much will be made about the Patriots revenge in this one. However they had revenge for the Super Bowl loss earlier in the year and as a 9 point favorite were unable to find a way to beat the Giants. It seems like the Giants have found a way to make the Patriots uncomfortable on offense and with a star running back to take the heat off Brady its quite possible he will get knocked down several times here. In the the end we will back the Giants in this one as they just seem to find a way to win. Take the 3 points buy the half point if you have to.
Over 313 yards passing Eli Manning
Manning to throw more pass yards in the 2nd half
Brady to throw at least one pick
Chad Ochocinco makes at least one catch.