Jack's Free Pick Thursday!

Idaho vs. Fresno State, 02/02/2012 22:00 EDT, Score: 55 - 65

Point Spread: -4/-110 Fresno State

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

The Fresno State Bulldogs are in a classic revenge spot tonight. The first meeting of the season between Fresno and Idaho was won by the Vandals at home 63-59. I believe the Bulldogs will return the favor Thursday with a 4-plus point victory.

Fresno comes in very battle-tested after a grueling 3-game road trip against Nevada, Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State. They went 0-3 on that trip, but two of their three losses were decided by a combined 5 points. The Bulldogs were an underdog in all three games.

Fresno is a much better team than their 9-14 record would indicate. This squad has played a very tough schedule with 15 road games compared to only 8 home contests. They have taken advantage at home, going 6-2 while outscoring opponents by 9.5 points/game.

The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Fresno is 9-2 ATS after playing a road game this season. The Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Fresno is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Bet Fresno State Thursday.