Joe D'Amico's NFL Super Bowl Guaranteed Winner
NY Giants vs. New England,
02/05/2012 18:30 EDT,
Score: 21 - 17
Point Spread: +3/-115 NY Giants
Today's winner is New York over New England.
The Giants have covered 3 straight over the Pats, all as a 'dog, winning 2 of the 3 outright. Tom Brady and company posted 32.1 PPG (3rd) and were 2nd in both YPG and Passing YPG, however their running game is 20th with 110.2 YPG on the ground. If you look at their current 10 game winning streak, New England has really only beat two quality foes. Their defense ranks15th, allowing 21.4 PPG. As a matter of fact, outside of the Bronco's game, the Patriots "D" has yielded 20 or more points in their L7. Overall, their stop unit gives up 411.1 total YPG, 293.9 passing YPG, and 117.1 rushing YPG. They rank the worst in the NFL allowing 79 plays of 20 plus yards. Their best pass-rusher, Andre Carter was lost to injury back in December. Losing the DE really weakened the "D". Their secondary is in trouble here as they face a now healthy NY powerful rushing attack which will open up the artistry of Eli Manning's passing attack and allow the QB to pick apart the under-manned secondary. New York has big play receivers in Nicks, Manningham, and Cruz. They light up defenses in the air for 295.9 YPG. The Giants have had ample time for their OL, RBs, and DL to heal. Hence, their 5 straight wins and covers. The Boys in Blue play mistake-free football and will wear down the depleted New England defense. Manning has passed for a career high 4933 yards with 29 TDs on the season. The Patriots TE, Gronkowski is banged-up and the rest of the wide outs just haven't reached expectations ( Outside of Welker). Brady and the "O" lit up weak defenses but couldn't score more than 23 against teams like the Cowboys, Steelers, Giants, and Ravens. Now with the NY ground attack of Jacobs and Bradshaw healthy (172 YR vs. Atlanta in the Wild Card game), they will manhandle the shaky NE "D". On the other side of the ball, New York has Umenyiora and Tuck back at 100% while Pierre-Paul is a machine with 16 1/2 regular season sacks. Don't forget that Kiwanuka is contributing as well. NY has covered all 7 of their Playoff games (winning 6 SU) away from the Meadowlands area in the Eli era. New England isn't use to shooting it out. Let's face it, they were an inch away from elimination in the AFC Title game against Baltimore. The Giants smart, quick, and strong front 4 will throw Brady and the offense off tilt. Just look at what it took for NY to get here… they took down both Green Bay and San Francisco both on the road. To summarize it, New York has the experience, has a healthy rushing attack, and their pass rush is ferocious. The Giants are 5-1ATS their L6 games over the Patriots, 7-0 ATS their L7 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 8-0 ATS their L8 Playoff games played as a 'dog. Take New York. Thank you.