15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Dayton -4.5

Duquesne vs. Dayton, 02/01/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 83 - 73

Point Spread: -4½/-110 Dayton

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

Dayton is showing tremendous line value tonight as a small home favorite against Duquesne. Dayton is 14-7 on the season and one of the best teams in the Atlantic 10 while Duquesne is 11-9 and in the middle of the pack.

The reason this line is so low is because Dayton is coming off back-to-back losses. That includes a bad 81-86 home loss to Rhode Island last time out. This team will come back very hungry and motivated tonight, and you can be sure they'll be giving 100% effort on the floor.

Dayton is 10-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 7.4 points/game. Duquesne is just 4-6 on the road this year, getting outscored by 7.4 points/game. Given these numbers, the Flyers are clearly showing some of their best value of the season tonight.

Duquesne is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after 3 or more consecutive unders. The Dukes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Duquesne is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic 10. The home team has won four straight in this series. Bet Dayton Wednesday.