4* BIG 12 BOOKIE BEATDOWN

Kansas State vs. Iowa State, 01/31/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 70 - 72

Point Spread: +1/-110 Kansas State

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

You have to be impressed with Iowa State's win at home over Kansas on Saturday, but I think they will struggle to back that performance up with another big home win tonight. I believe the oddsmakers have given away who they like in this game by setting the line so low. If the oddsmakers really thought Iowa State was going to win this game, I think they would have set this line closer to 3-4 points, instead its almost begging you to take the Cyclones at -1.

While Iowa State comes in off an impressive home win, Kansas State lost at home 60-63 to Oklahoma as a 11.5-point favorite. There is no question they will be motivated to come out and make up for that loss. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

I believe the Wildcats strength on the defensive end will be what propels them to a win tonight. The Cyclones are a great offensive team, but they come in allowing 66 ppg on 43% shooting. The Wildcats on the other hand allow just 63.5 ppg on 39% shooting. Backing up my thoughts is the fact that Kansas State is 24-10 ATS in their last 34 road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing