Denver vs. Memphis,
01/31/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 97 - 100
Point Spread: +1½/-104 Memphis
1 Unit on Memphis Grizzlies +1.5
Memphis has lost 4 in a row since winning 7 straight from Jan. 12-Jan. 23. It wants to end this skid in the worst possible way, and I like it to get it done tonight.
Denver is 7-3 on the road, but 5 of those wins have come against New Orleans, Milwaukee, Washington, New York and Sacramento - teams that are a combined 30-72. Denver was just 17-24 on the road last season, and I believe it will start to take some lumps away from home as it faces stiffer competition.
Memphis is 6-3 at home with 2 narrow losses to Oklahoma City, who has the best record in the West this season, and a loss to San Antonio, who had the best overall record in the West last season. The Grizzlies have been a terrific home wager considering they are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. They are also an impressive 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus very good teams (like Denver) that outscore their opponents by 6 points or more per game. They have defeated these foes by an average score of 100.8 to 96.3. Take Memphis.