3* NBA SMASH

New York vs. Miami, 01/27/2012 20:00 EDT, Score: 89 - 99

Point Spread: +11/-105 New York

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

3* NBA SMASH on Knicks +11
The season has not started out the way the Knicks had envisioned, but a win over the Heat would go a long way toward righting the ship. I expect them to give Miami a game as they try to make a major statement with a win.

Historically speaking, this is a good spot to back the Knicks. Consider that plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points - cold team failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 and an extremely tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days - are 47-20 ATS since 1996. This system is 9-1 ATS the last 3 seasons.

The Knicks are an incredible 26-10 ATS as a road underdog since the beginning of last season. Plus, they are a perfect 14-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days under coach D'Antoni. We'll take the points.