NBA FREE PICK: Toronto Raptors +10.5

Toronto vs. Utah, 01/25/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 111 - 106

Point Spread: +10½/-110 Toronto

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

The Utah Jazz are simply laying too many points against the Raptors tonight. Utah is getting plenty of action from the public thanks to their impressive 7-3 record against the spread at home, but the oddsmakers have adjusted.

In Utah's 10 home games they haven't been favored by more than 8-points. They are outscoring opponents by just 8 points a game at home this season.I can't see them being all that excited to play a Toronto team that has one win in their last nine games. However, the Raptors just got back their biggest offensive weapon in forward Andrea Bargnani, who scored 36-points in the Raptors 99-96 win at Phoenix last night.

Believe it or not the Raptors have been a strong play as a road underdog against a strong home team. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. As good as Utah has been, they aren't great as a home favorite. The Jazz are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. BET THE RAPTORS!