NCAAB FREE PICK: Georgia +12.5
Kentucky vs. Georgia,
01/24/2012 21:00 EDT,
Score: 57 - 44
Point Spread: +12½/-110 Georgia
My money is on the Georgia Bulldogs to cover the 12.5-point spread against the top-ranked Kentucky Wildcats. What a lot of people don't realize is the hype that surrounds Kentucky basketball has allowed oddsmakers to make a killing. More times than not the public is all over the Wildcats, but they are just 5-14 ATS this season, covering just once in their last eight games. I'm currently showing around 60% of the public betting on Kentucky in this game, yet the line is moving in the favor of Georgia.
I will admit Georgia doesn't look like a great play if you just look at their recent performances. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 in their last 5 games, all of which were games inside the SEC.
What a lot of people overlook is the magnitude of this game for Georgia, compared to what it means for Kentucky. Georgia is just 10-9 overall, which means they aren't making the NCAA Tournament unless they win the conference tournament. With this game being played on ESPN, I expect the Bulldogs to treat this game like it was the National Championship. I also expect a sell out crowd that will relish at the opportunity to see their team take down the No. 1 team in the country.
Georgia lost 63-66 at home to Ole Miss on Saturday as a 2-point favorite. That was actually a good thing for Georgia against the spread tonight. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss and 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. loss! BET THE BULLDOGS!