4* SEC SMASH (CBS)
Alabama vs. Kentucky,
01/21/2012 12:00 EDT,
Score: 71 - 77
Point Spread: +11/-107 Alabama
4* SEC SMASH (CBS) on Alabama +11
Kentucky has been overvalued all season, as evidenced by its 5-13 ATS mark in lined games, and that remains the case here.
The Wildcats have especially been overvalued following a big win, checking in at just 2-8 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season. They have also been extremely overvalued on Saturday's, when they receive the most betting attention. They are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games. They are also 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
Bama defeated Kentucky in last year's regular-season meeting, and I like it to give the Wildcats all they want and more here.