San Antonio vs. Miami,
01/17/2012 19:30 EDT,
Score: 98 - 120
Point Spread: -7/-101 Miami
1 Unit on Miami Heat -7
With 3 full days of rest and hungry to end a 3-game skid, expect the Heat to roll at home tonight.
Miami will likely be without Dwayne Wade, who is dealing with an ankle injury, but it still has the horses to cover this number against a San Antonio team that is without Manu Ginobli and has really struggled on the road. The Spurs are 0-4 SU and ATS away from home this season with those losses coming by an average of 11.2 points. It is worth noting that 3 of those losses came to Houston, Minnesota and Milwaukee, who definitely aren't of Miami's caliber.
The Spurs are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Also, plays on home favorites off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team winning 60% to 75% of its games playing a team with a winning record, are 54-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 9.0 points.
When San Antonio visited Miami last March, it was handed a 30-point beating. We'll lay the points.