3* Main Event on Jacksonville State +

Jacksonville State vs. Belmont, 03/02/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 71 - 78

Point Spread: +17½/-106 Jacksonville State

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

Always play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Jacksonville State when they are off an upset win as a road underdog and revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 55-24 (69.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Jacksonville State is 11-0 ATS against teams averaging 16 or more assists per game after 15+ games. The Gamecocks have done a great job of controlling their turnovers and forcing them from their opponents. Belmont won the first matchup between these teams by 11 points. A change in venue is not enough to make up the additional points to cover such a large number.