4* ESPN Big Monday SMASH
Baylor vs. Kansas,
01/16/2012 21:30 EDT,
Score: 74 - 92
Point Spread: -6½/-110 Kansas
4* ESPN Big Monday SMASH on Kansas -6.5
Some teams don't do as well playing on Monday following a Saturday contest. Baylor, for one, is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 Monday games while Kansas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 Monday games
The fact Kansas is coming off an ATS loss actually bodes well for us. The Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 7-0 ATS off a home win in which they didn't cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Kansas is also 7-0 ATS versus good defensive teams holding their opponents to 42% shooting or worse this season.
The fact Baylor mauled Oklahoma State last game isn't the best scenario considering it is 0-6 ATS following a cover as a double-digit favorite under coach Drew.
The Jayhawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.
Baylor is 0-9 all-time in Lawrence and the last 7 losses have come by an average of 17.6 points. Lay the points.