Free Pick on BYU +
Gonzaga vs. BYU,
02/28/2013 23:00 EDT,
Score: 70 - 65
Point Spread: +5½/-106 BYU
You should always play against road teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga when they are coming off 6 or more consecutive wins and playing in a February game. This system is 117-65 (64.3%) over the last five seasons. Gonzaga is 2-9 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games over the last two seasons.
BYU is an NCAA Tournament team. They have 20 wins this season and statistically look better than Gonzaga. They average 81.3 points per game at home compared to the 72.3 the Bulldogs average on the road. The Cougars also have a rebounding advantage over the Bulldogs. They are bringing in 40 total boards per game compared to 36 per game from Gonzaga.
This game is not just about statistics. It is also about revenge. BYU was embarrassed by the Bulldogs back in January and this is their chance to prove they deserve to be ranked among the top teams in college basketball. That 20 point loss to the Bulldogs is nothing more than motivation for the Cougars today.