Jack's Free Pick Sunday!

Golden State vs. Detroit, 01/15/2012 18:00 EDT, Score: 99 - 91

Point Spread: +5½/-110 Golden State

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Win

The Detroit Pistons should not be favored against anybody right now. This is one of the worst teams in the league. The Pistons are just 3-9 this season and they're scoring 84.9 points/game. I'll gladly fade them any time they are a favorite.

This line is an overreaction from the Warriors losing to the Charlotte Bobcats last time out on the road. Oddsmakers are putting too much stock into that loss, and I still believe the Warriors are going to be one of the most improved teams in the league this season under first-year head coach Mark Jackson.

The Pistons are 6-21 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. The Warriors are 19-6 ATS in road games versus horrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game since 1996. Golden State is an incredible 27-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Warriors Sunday.