7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Trailblazers +9

Portland vs. LA Lakers, 02/22/2013 22:30 EDT, Score: 107 - 111

Point Spread: +9/-101 Portland

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Trailblazers +9
The Key: The Lakers are being overvalued here following their decisive win over Boston. We are getting additional line value because the Blazers have lost their last six. Consider that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 31-10 ATS the last 5 seasons provided they check in with 6 or more consecutive defeats and the game takes place in the second half of the season. The public loves the Lakers and books love to take advantage of that by jacking up their lines, especially after a big win. As a result, the Lakers are 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Blazers have been struggling on the defensive end and have been struggling to keep teams off the board. However, the Lakers are 0-8 ATS in home games in the second half of the season the L3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have defeated these teams on average but only by 4.0 points. Also, Portland is 8-0 ATS in the second half of the season the L3 seasons versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. The Blazers have actually defeated these foes by an average of 7.1 points. The Trailblazers are 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings, and the underdog is 24-11 ATS in the last 35 meetings. Take the points.