3* Oddsmakers Error on Cincinnati +
Cincinnati vs. Connecticut,
02/21/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 66 - 73
Point Spread: +1/-110 Cincinnati
It appears the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored in this match up. Connecticut has a tough stretch to end their season with three out of five games being played on the road and one of their home games coming against #11 ranked Georgetown. This is a situation where the Huskies may not be fully prepared to take on the Bearcats as they try to get ready for that final stretch of games.
Cincinnati is the more experienced team returning three starters from last season compared to just one from Connecticut. This late in the season that experience is going to be a big difference maker. You should always play on a road team after scoring 60 points or less in their last game, that is returning two or more starters from last season than their opponent. This system is 256-184 (58.2%) over the last five seasons.
The Bearcats are a team that really steps up there game against solid competition and they are 8-1 ATS in road games when playing teams with a winning record this season. They are also 14-3 ATS on road games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last two seasons.