5* HEAVY HITTER on Santa Clara +

Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga, 02/20/2013 23:00 EDT, Score: 42 - 85

Point Spread: +13/-110 Santa Clara

Sportsbook: WilliamHill

Result: Loss

This game falls into a system to play against favorites of 10 points or more after 6 or more consecutive wins when playing in a February game. The system is 107-65 (62.2%) over the last five seasons. If you look at Gonzaga’s last four games in which they were favored by double digits they failed to cover the spread three out of four times.

Santa Clara is not a team that gets bogged down on the road. They average 76.9 points per game and shoot 39.9% from beyond the three point line. They are 6-3 straight up and against the spread on the road this season and a very respectable 19-8 overall.

This matchup was decided by 7 points earlier this season at Santa Clara so the Broncos will be out for revenge. You should play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Santa Clara when they are revenging a home loss vs an opponent. This situation comes up quite a bit and has a 724-538 record over the last 5 seasons.