7* Big East *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on South Florida +14

Louisville vs. South Florida, 02/17/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 59 - 41

Point Spread: +14/-110 South Florida

Sportsbook: WilliamHill

Result: Loss

7* Big East *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on South Florida +14
The Key: The value lies with South Florida here. The Bulls have lost 7 in a row and were defeated by 26 by Louisville in the season's first meeting. We are getting a great number with the home team as a result. The Bulls have been no pushover at home where they are 8-6 with a win over Georgetown. Consider that plays on underdogs of 10 or more points that check in with 7 or more consecutive losses, provided they are playing just their 2nd game in 8 days, are 164-99 ATS since 1997. Also, playing underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that have been beaten against the spread by 48 points or more in their last ten games are 79-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have lost by only 10.9 points on average. Lastly, South Florida is an awesome 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. It has won by an average score of 65.3 to 60.0 in this situation.